Mixed Migration Review 2025
Migration in the context of geopolitical turmoil
Eastern and Southern Africa is home to four inter-regional migration routes in addition to large-scale migration within the region. Migration routes connect refugees and migrants from East Africa to the Gulf, Southern Africa, North Africa, Europe, and the Western Indian Ocean. Movements are driven by conflict, economic hardship, and climate change, with the war in Sudan now driving the world’s largest displacement crisis.
Mixed migration in Eastern and Southern Africa is driven by conflict and instability, economic hardships and opportunities, and, increasingly, climate hazards like drought and flooding, combined with a lack of legal pathways for movement. Since 2023, the war in Sudan has become the world’s largest displacement crisis, forcing millions to flee both within the country and across borders, and reshaping mobility patterns across the region.
The region’s main routes include the Eastern Route to the Gulf via Yemen, the Southern Route to South Africa, the Northern Route to Europe via North Africa, and the Western Indian Ocean Route, often towards Mayotte. Along all these routes, refugees and migrants are at risk of exploitation and abuse, are highly dependent upon smugglers to facilitate their movement, and are exposed to harsh conditions from long overland and sea journeys. The experiences of East Africans on the move vary considerably by gender, sexual identity, age, and nationality.

Mixed migration trends and relevant policy developments in the region.
4Mi surveys collected with refugees and migrants in the region in 2025
Some people are arrested and others are raped on the way,
20-year-old Congolese woman.
people have fled Sudan to neighbouring countries
Climate mobility in the Horn and East Africa
of respondents in Yemen identified smugglers as the main perpetrators of abuse in dangerous locations.
When my father found out that I am gay, he started restricting my freedom.
20-year-old Somali gay & queer respondent.
MMC engages in data collection, research, analysis and policy development on mixed migration across all four routes intersecting the region and on dynamics within the region. This includes the Eastern Route to the Gulf via Yemen, the Southern Route to South Africa, the Northern Route to Europe via North Africa, and the Western Indian Ocean Route.
Our primary objectives are to fill the knowledge gap on mixed migration in the region; to inform programming for refugees and migrants, particularly in the areas of protection, economic recovery, and climate change resilience and anticipatory action; and to inform policymaking around the rights and protection of people on the move.
Key research themes covered by MMC include: mobility linked to climate change; cities and urban mixed migration dynamics; smuggling, trafficking in persons, and exploitation; women and children on the move; the experiences of displaced sexual and gender minorities; and unpacking and mapping mixed migration drivers, patterns, and routes.
MMC’s 4Mi data collection project has conducted over 19,000 interviews with refugees and migrants in the region since 2017. The project operates in core countries including Burundi, Djibouti, Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, South Africa, and Yemen, and has also collected data in Chad, the Comoros, Madagascar, Malawi, Mayotte, Tanzania, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. This evidence is critical to informing protection-focused programming and policy-making that safeguards the rights of people on the move across the region.
In the second quarter, MMC co-organised two high-level dialogues on Mobility, Environment, and Climate Change in collaboration with the African Union Commission (in Addis Ababa) and Kenya’s National Coordination Mechanism on Migration (NCM, in Nairobi). The multi-day dialogues brought together governments, regional institutions, civil society, and international partners from across the East and Horn of Africa region and the wider continent. The dialogues created a platform to align strategies, share evidence, and generate concrete policy recommendations at the intersection of mobility, climate adaptation, and disaster preparedness.
The dialogues were organised as part of the “Managing the impacts of environmental change and conflict on mobility in Eastern Africa through evidence-based inclusive policy dialogue and collaborative actions” (MECMEA) project. MECMEA is made up of a consortium of members in the region, led the Horn of Africa Regional Environment Centre and Network (HoA-REC&N), and is funded by the European Union and contracted by the International Centre for Migration Policy Development (ICMPD), through the Migration and Mobility Dialogue (MMD) Grant Facility.
MMC conducted interviews with 3,554 refugees and migrants who fled the Sudan war to Chad, Ethiopia, South Sudan, and Eastern Sudan. Interviews were conducted between August 2023 and September 2024. This interactive report provides insights into the profiles, experiences, and onward movement intentions of the respondents. It was developed as part of a collaboration with the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) and the Danish International Development Agency (DANIDA).

This dashboard features data collected through surveys with people on the move in Sudan and Ethiopia since November 2022 to December 2023. It is part of a two-year EAMR project dedicated to evidence-based programming for children and youth, conducted in collaboration with Save the Children and funded by the Swiss Agency for Development.

This dashboard features data on mobility linked to climate-related disasters across the Eastern and Horn of Africa. It is part of the MECMEA project, implemented by MMC in collaboration with HoAREC&N and local partners, under the Africa-EU Migration and Mobility Dialogue (MMD III) grant facility, to inform evidence-based and inclusive policy dialogue on climate and conflict-driven mobility.

Bram Frouws on the risks of Sahara crossings and who profits from Europe’s border policies
For more information on our research in the region contact [email protected] or subscribe to our newsletter to receive updates straight to your inbox